Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Lorenzo Carboni Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Carboni's second serve has a 39.67% point-win rate recently, slightly trailing Jover's 40.55%. Does this indicate a slight edge for Jover? Yes, considering serve performance is key in match predictions.
• In returning games, Carboni wins 47.18% of opponents' second serve points, compared to Jover's 49.39%. This suggests Jover has a stronger return game.
• With first serve returns, Carboni's win rate is 33.18%, slightly lower than Jover's at 34.28%. Could this minor difference sway the match? It might give Jover a small advantage.
• Carboni has a 51.14% success rate in saving breakpoints, just under Jover’s 52.38%, pointing towards Jover’s stronger mental resilience under pressure.
• Jover boasts a higher overall win rate of 71.25% the past year compared to Carboni's 59.15%, indicating a more consistent performance.
• Carboni performs best on Hard courts with a win percentage of 68%, while Jover excels on Clay courts with a 64% win rate.
• In their primary tournament level, Jover has an 83.93% win rate, overshadowing Carboni's 63.49%.
• Carboni has faced tougher competition, with opponents averaging a ranking of 372.51, whereas Jover's opponents' average rank is 415.64.
• Jover has a higher deciding set win rate at 74% over the last year, compared to Carboni’s 57%, suggesting a stronger endgame.
• Carboni converts 40.78% of breakpoints compared to Jover's 39.81%, which is perhaps the only area where Carboni has a slight edge.

Editorial Prediction (May 6, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing recent statistics, Jover demonstrates a slightly superior second serve win rate over Carboni. This factor often has a high correlation with match outcomes.

In return games, Jover's ability to win points against an opponent's serve edges out Carboni's performance, both in second and first serve contexts.

Jover also shows a marginally stronger breakpoint save and match win rate, especially in high-pressure scenarios, indicating greater match resilience.

Although Carboni excels on Hard courts, Jover's overall dominance across several metrics predicts a competitive advantage for them in this matchup.

Considering these comparative strengths, Jover is the likely winner for the upcoming tennis match against Carboni.